Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 62.67%1.60fair odd
EV +0.901%
Edge +0.560%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.61%62.53%62.66%63.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.511.501.6168.03%66.23%66.67%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.10%37.47%37.34%41.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.492.502.6243.86%40.16%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 62.67%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 37.33%. For Florida Gators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.901%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV +0.901%E +0.560%K +1.48%G +0.013%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -14.89%E -6.53%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 22:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.353%E -0.222%K -0.598%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -1.61%E -1.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.11%E -2.69%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 02:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.19%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 01:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 02:35
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 04:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 05:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 05:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 05:35
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -5.99%E -4.00%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -7.05%E -2.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -2.20%E -0.839%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 20:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:14
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:14
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.87%E -5.36%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%5.0%2026-04-04 23:24