Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v North Florida Ospreys

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 80.87%1.24fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -3.88%
Kelly -25.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.93%80.92%80.72%82.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.161.1887.72%86.26%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Florida Ospreys (Visit)

Prediction 19.13%5.23fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.323%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.83%19.08%19.28%20.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.704.904.905.3021.28%20.42%20.41%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 80.87%; North Florida Ospreys (Visit): 19.13%. For North Florida Ospreys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.00%E -6.09%K -46.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +1.39%E +0.262%K +0.323%G +0.004%5.8%2026-05-05 14:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.35%E -0.870%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 16:30
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.35%E -0.870%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.35%E -0.870%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.35%E -0.870%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:39
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.00%E -6.09%K -46.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.35%E -0.870%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.81%E -6.85%K -55.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.35%E -0.870%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.26%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 12:13
MyBookie.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.19%E -5.34%K -38.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.18%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 16:40
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.13%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 00:39
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.00%E -6.09%K -46.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.13%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 18:10
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.00%E -6.09%K -46.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.13%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.00%E -6.09%K -46.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.13%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 18:10
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.81%E -6.85%K -55.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.13%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.57%E -3.88%K -25.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -10.09%E -2.15%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 81.76%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.24%3.6%2026-05-05 21:50