Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

70%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 69.62%1.44fair odd

EV -2.53%

Edge -1.81%

Kelly -6.34%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.44%69.53%69.40%71.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.351.361.4076.92%74.12%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd

EV +0.261%

Edge +0.079%

Kelly +0.113%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.26%30.47%30.60%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.853.083.103.3035.09%32.42%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 69.62%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 30.38%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.261%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.50%E -7.31%K -31.66%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-31 00:29
Bally Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.50%E -7.31%K -31.66%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-31 00:29
betPARX🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -9.50%E -7.31%K -31.66%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +0.261%E +0.079%K +0.113%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-31 00:29
FanDuel🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.78%E -0.868%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 00:30
DraftKings🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.71%E -5.01%K -19.74%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.78%E -0.868%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 00:30
Caesars🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.33%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-31 00:28
theScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.78%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.82%E -1.88%K -2.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-31 00:29
Betway🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.41%E -5.57%K -22.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.85%E -2.95%K -4.43%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-05-31 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.33%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-31 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.93%E -2.85%K -10.33%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-31 00:30
BetUS🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.62%E -3.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -10.37%E -3.52%K -5.32%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-31 00:29
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.53%E -1.81%K -6.34%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.89%E -4.10%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 00:30
Bovada🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -5.32%E -3.91%K -14.78%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -13.41%E -4.71%K -7.25%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-31 00:22

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.