Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 64.39%1.55fair odd

EV -1.48%

Edge -0.966%

Kelly -2.79%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.03%65.02%63.66%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.451.481.5374.63%69.18%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd

EV +13.94%

Edge +4.36%

Kelly +6.34%

Growth +0.883%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.52%34.98%36.34%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.752.623.2040.00%36.30%38.17%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 64.39%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 35.61%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -13.71%E -10.23%K -40.33%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +13.94%E +4.36%K +6.34%G +0.883%	5.9%	2026-05-30 14:00
1xBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -9.85%E -7.04%K -24.62%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV +7.53%E +2.49%K +3.73%G +0.281%	4.5%	2026-05-30 14:10
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -9.85%E -7.04%K -24.62%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.26%E +1.12%K +1.72%G +0.056%	5.9%	2026-05-30 13:46
Bovada🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -11.14%E -8.07%K -29.31%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +3.26%E +1.12%K +1.72%G +0.056%	6.9%	2026-05-30 13:28
FanDuel🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.71%E -2.56%K -4.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-30 12:30
Pinnacle🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.42%E -2.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-30 12:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.41%E -2.27%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.20%E -3.61%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-30 12:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.48%E -0.966%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-30 09:50
Betway🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.70%E -3.17%K -9.79%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.98%E -4.39%K -7.32%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-30 12:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.33I 75.19%NM 62.85%	2.25I 44.44%NM 37.15%	19.6%	2026-05-30 12:10