Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 14:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 61.30%1.63fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%61.33%61.18%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5968.03%65.65%65.79%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 38.70%2.58fair odd
EV +0.618%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.386%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%38.67%38.82%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.432.402.6042.37%41.16%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 61.30%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 38.70%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.618%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.89%E -6.73%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +0.618%E +0.238%K +0.386%G +0.002%6.5%2026-05-10 13:58
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.44%E -4.92%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.44%E -4.92%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.44%E -4.92%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.82%E -4.49%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:59
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.44%E -4.92%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 13:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.21%E -4.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 13:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.82%E -4.49%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.53%E -1.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.37%E -2.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.60%E -3.63%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:59
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.05%E -5.37%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 13:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.21%E -4.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.21%E -4.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.21%E -4.06%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.44%E -4.92%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 13:59
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.44%E -4.92%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 13:59
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -7.44%E -4.92%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:00
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.98%E -3.22%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.67%E -3.67%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%2.2%2026-05-10 13:59