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Florida Gators v Jacksonville Dolphins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Florida Gators (Local)
assuming max odds 1.18
Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 80.18%; Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit): 19.82%. For Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -7.79%E -6.77%K -51.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +5.02%E +0.948%K +1.17%G +0.059% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.922%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.922%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.922%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.922%E -0.184%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.66%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.21%EV -3.30%E -0.676%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.99%E -6.02%K -43.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.89%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -8.59%E -7.53%K -61.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.18%E -5.29%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.38%E -4.56%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 17:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 21:15 |