Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.15%53.01%53.05%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.761.771.7857.80%56.71%56.50%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -5.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%46.99%46.95%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.941.992.002.0251.55%50.35%50.00%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 53.05%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 46.95%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -5.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.51%E -3.81%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 17:45
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 17:45
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.16%E -2.56%K -5.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 22:29
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 23:34
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 07:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 22:20
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.57%E -3.30%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 20:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 12:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 01:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 01:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%5.4%2026-03-10 21:50