Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Florida Atlantic Owls

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

84%

16%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 84.02%1.19fair odd

EV -3.38%

Edge -2.94%

Kelly -22.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.67%83.60%84.27%85.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.121.111.1590.09%89.52%90.09%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit)

Prediction 15.98%6.26fair odd

EV +2.27%

Edge +0.354%

Kelly +0.420%

Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.78%16.40%15.73%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.805.726.006.4020.83%17.48%16.67%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 84.02%; Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit): 15.98%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +2.27%E +0.354%K +0.420%G +0.010%	5.7%	2026-03-03 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.34%EV -5.90%E -5.27%K -49.14%G +0.000%	6.03I 16.58%NM 15.66%EV -3.64%E -0.604%K -0.724%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-03 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.34%EV -5.90%E -5.27%K -49.14%G +0.000%	6.03I 16.58%NM 15.66%EV -3.64%E -0.604%K -0.724%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-03 18:25
DraftKings🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.90%E -5.27%K -49.14%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.12%E -0.687%K -0.825%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-03 15:45
BetMGM🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.90%E -5.27%K -49.14%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.12%E -0.687%K -0.825%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-03 21:35
Bovada🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.12%E -0.687%K -0.825%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 21:35
888sport🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.12%E -0.687%K -0.825%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.12%E -0.687%K -0.825%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.12%E -0.687%K -0.825%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 17:30
BetUS🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.90%E -5.27%K -49.14%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -7.32%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-03 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.90%E -5.27%K -49.14%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -8.12%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-03 17:15
Betway🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.11%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-03 21:40
1xBet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.48%EV -5.06%E -4.48%K -38.90%G +0.000%	5.32I 18.80%NM 17.52%EV -14.99%E -2.82%K -3.47%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-03 21:50
BetRivers🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -16.91%E -3.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-03 17:05
betPARX🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -16.91%E -3.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-03 17:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -6.74%E -6.07%K -61.25%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -16.91%E -3.25%K -4.03%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-03 17:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -3.38%E -2.94%K -22.51%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -23.30%E -4.85%K -6.13%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-03 21:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.