Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 16:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 51.77%1.93fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.71%51.48%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.8857.47%55.12%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 48.23%2.07fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.29%48.52%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.922.0054.05%51.93%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 51.77%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 48.23%. For Florida Gators (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -2.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -2.67%E -1.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -10.78%E -5.83%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -2.67%E -1.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -10.78%E -5.83%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:59
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -2.67%E -1.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -10.78%E -5.83%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:58
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.44%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 15:55
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 15:56
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:59
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 15:59
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 15:59
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.36%E -4.73%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 15:58
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.36%E -4.73%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.36%E -4.73%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.92%E -5.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%4.8%2026-04-18 15:59