Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 46.55%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 53.45%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.67%E -5.72%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 14:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -2.70%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.14%E -5.38%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.14%E -5.38%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.14%E -5.38%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.89%E -3.45%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.89%E -3.45%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.89%E -3.45%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.89%E -3.45%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.89%E -3.45%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -9.22%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.08%E -5.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.19%E -1.20%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.08%E -5.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.19%E -1.20%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.08%E -5.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.19%E -1.20%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 15:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.86% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14% | 13.7% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |