The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida Atlantic Owls v UMBC Retrievers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls (Local)

Prediction 83.59%1.20fair odd
EV -0.532%
Edge -0.447%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.71%83.54%83.21%85.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.111.1992.59%89.62%90.09%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMBC Retrievers (Visit)

Prediction 16.41%6.09fair odd
EV +6.68%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.081%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.47%16.46%16.79%21.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.796.056.5022.73%17.27%16.53%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 83.59%; UMBC Retrievers (Visit): 16.41%. For UMBC Retrievers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.09. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -8.05%E -7.32%K -80.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +6.68%E +1.03%K +1.22%G +0.081%6.3%2026-03-13 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.22%E -6.50%K -65.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +2.58%E +0.413%K +0.492%G +0.013%6.1%2026-03-13 20:19
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -9.73%E -9.01%K -121.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV +1.76%E +0.284%K +0.339%G +0.006%8.7%2026-03-13 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.05%E -7.32%K -80.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +0.120%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.05%E -7.32%K -80.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +0.120%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:40
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.05%E -7.32%K -80.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +0.120%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:40
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.22%E -6.50%K -65.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -1.52%E -0.254%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 17:32
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.01%EV -7.22%E -6.50%K -65.62%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 15.99%EV -4.31%E -0.740%K -0.893%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.71%E -4.13%K -33.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 18:15
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.22%E -6.50%K -65.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.71%E -4.13%K -33.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -17.93%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -0.532%E -0.447%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -27.78%E -6.31%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 85.10%5.71I 17.51%NM 14.90%17.5%2026-03-13 22:20