Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls v UAB Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls (Local)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd

EV +3.45%

Edge +1.77%

Kelly +3.63%

Growth +0.125%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.00%51.79%53.05%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.771.801.771.9556.50%55.56%56.50%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd

EV -6.10%

Edge -3.05%

Kelly -6.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.95%48.21%46.95%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.962.002.0055.56%50.96%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 53.05%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 46.95%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +3.45%E +1.77%K +3.63%G +0.125%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -15.49%E -8.61%K -19.36%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-02 14:39
1xBet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -9.86%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-02 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.04%E -3.56%K -7.18%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-02 21:09
DraftKings🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 17:50
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 18:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 21:04
Bovada🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-02 21:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%	8.8%	2026-04-02 22:04