The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Florida Atlantic Owls v Iowa Hawkeyes

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls (Local)

Prediction 52.98%1.89fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.74%52.90%53.05%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.771.8060.61%57.06%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit)

Prediction 47.02%2.13fair odd
EV +4.38%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +3.59%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%47.10%46.95%48.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.931.992.002.2251.81%50.13%50.00%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 52.98%; Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit): 47.02%. For Iowa Hawkeyes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV +4.38%E +1.97%K +3.59%G +0.157%5.7%2026-02-21 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 00:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 03:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.22%E -3.52%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:35
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -7.84%E -4.00%K -8.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 18:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.81%E -4.49%K -10.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:59
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -9.25%E -4.79%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:20
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -9.25%E -4.79%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -9.25%E -4.79%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.