The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida Atlantic Owls v East Carolina Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls (Local)

Prediction 33.64%2.97fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.51%33.65%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.792.802.9036.36%35.79%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 66.36%1.51fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -10.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%66.49%66.35%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.411.421.4471.43%70.73%70.42%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 33.64%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 66.36%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -2.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.46%E -0.847%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:45
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.14%E -1.45%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 16:50
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -5.15%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.10%E -3.57%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 04:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:04
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 05:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.82%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:04
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 12:04
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 08:14
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 14:30
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 14:30
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.50%E -2.73%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.80I 35.71%NM 26.32%1.00I 100.00%NM 73.68%35.7%2026-05-16 16:49