The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida Atlantic Owls v East Carolina Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls (Local)

Prediction 35.25%2.84fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.28%35.29%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.682.652.8038.46%37.36%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 64.75%1.54fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.72%64.71%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.451.5070.42%68.60%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 35.25%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 64.75%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.31%E -0.468%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -2.72%E -0.985%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -7.40%E -5.18%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 18:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.07%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.05%E -5.67%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.60%E -2.49%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.11%E -4.21%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:44
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.30%E -2.78%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.87%E -1.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.17%E -2.81%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:25
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.36%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.76%E -4.69%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 18:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-05-14 16:15