Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Michigan Eagles v Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

18%

82%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eastern Michigan Eagles (Local)

Prediction 17.86%5.60fair odd

EV +3.59%

Edge +0.618%

Kelly +0.747%

Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 5.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.18%18.01%18.11%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.605.245.255.8021.74%19.10%19.05%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michigan Wolverines (Visit)

Prediction 82.14%1.22fair odd

EV -3.90%

Edge -3.33%

Kelly -22.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.72%81.99%81.89%83.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.141.141.1789.29%87.82%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eastern Michigan Eagles (Local): 17.86%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 82.14%. For Eastern Michigan Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +3.59%E +0.618%K +0.747%G +0.027%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -8.00%E -7.15%K -66.69%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-06 16:20
BetMGM🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.77%E -0.322%K -0.394%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-06 16:20
Bovada🎯	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-06 16:18
MyBookie.ag🎯	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.18%E -6.36%K -55.24%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-06 16:25
DraftKings🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -7.13%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.93%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-06 16:15
1xBet🎯	5.18I 19.31%NM 18.04%EV -7.49%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.96%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-06 16:20
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.00%E -7.15%K -66.69%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-04-06 16:19
theScore Bet🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.84%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-06 18:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.