Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee St Buccaneers v Appalachian St Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 66.27%1.51fair odd
EV -5.24%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -12.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.95%66.25%66.27%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.411.401.4371.43%70.77%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 33.73%2.96fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.75%33.73%35.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.752.752.9038.17%36.38%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Local): 66.27%; Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit): 33.73%. For Appalachian St Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -2.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -6.90%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 16:35
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 19:54
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:54
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 19:55
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.90%E -4.16%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.17%E -0.750%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:39
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.86%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.86%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 03:45
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-25 13:09
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.23%E -5.16%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.