Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 68.62%1.46fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -9.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%68.87%68.45%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.33%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 31.38%3.19fair odd
EV +3.55%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%31.13%31.55%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.023.003.3035.09%33.09%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 68.62%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 31.38%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.73%E -6.57%K -26.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.55%E +1.07%K +1.54%G +0.055%5.5%2026-04-17 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.05%E -6.00%K -23.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.16%E -0.369%K -0.540%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.05%E -6.00%K -23.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.16%E -0.369%K -0.540%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 20:05
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.30%E -3.84%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.73%E -0.881%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 15:10
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -8.05%E -6.00%K -23.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 20:05
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.67%E -4.91%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.87%E -1.96%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:13
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -5.99%E -4.37%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -8.06%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 15:09
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.93%E -2.81%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.30%E -3.84%K -13.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.01%E -3.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:23
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.67%E -4.91%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%8.4%2026-04-17 21:45