Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 67.84%1.47fair odd

EV -3.67%

Edge -2.58%

Kelly -8.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.67%67.84%67.51%68.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.391.401.4273.53%71.87%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 32.16%3.11fair odd

EV -0.949%

Edge -0.308%

Kelly -0.456%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.10%32.16%32.49%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.932.893.0835.71%34.16%34.60%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 67.84%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 32.16%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.08, with an expected value of -0.949%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.67%E -2.58%K -8.73%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.13%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-23 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.56%G +0.000%	2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -7.06%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.56%G +0.000%	2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -7.06%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-23 22:39
BetUS🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.56%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.95%E -3.55%K -5.53%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-23 22:49
1xBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.62%G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -0.949%E -0.308%K -0.456%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-23 22:59
DraftKings🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.06%E -5.15%K -19.08%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.52%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-23 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.74%E -5.69%K -21.49%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.38%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-23 22:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.