The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

East Carolina Pirates v UAB Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 70.70%1.41fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -13.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.18%70.70%70.64%72.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3577.52%75.43%75.19%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 29.30%3.41fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%29.30%29.36%30.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.033.183.203.3533.00%31.49%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 70.70%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 29.30%. For UAB Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -4.56%E -3.38%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -11.21%E -3.70%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 04:09
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.27%E -3.93%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.22%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 00:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.27%E -3.93%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 04:05
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.98%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.98%E -4.49%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.22%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 03:59
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -8.10%E -6.23%K -26.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -1.83%E -0.546%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 03:53
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%EV -8.80%E -6.82%K -30.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 71.05%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.95%8.3%2026-03-22 16:24