The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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East Carolina Pirates v Troy Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 60.96%1.64fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -7.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.21%60.61%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5767.57%65.52%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 39.04%2.56fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.577%
Kelly +0.938%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.79%39.39%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.382.352.6043.10%41.96%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 60.96%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 39.04%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.78%E -6.61%K -20.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.50%E +0.577%K +0.938%G +0.014%6.0%2026-02-28 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.40%E -0.961%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 21:24
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 16:25
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:04
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 02:44
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.90%E -3.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 03:35
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.26%E -3.51%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 16:24
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -8.56%E -5.71%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -9.04%E -3.88%K -6.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 20:00
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -9.43%E -4.06%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.