Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 62.29%; Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit): 37.71%. For Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 20:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.47%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.53%EV -12.90%E -5.59%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 15:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -8.38%E -3.45%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 15:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.97%E -0.757%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.