Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Rice Owls

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 66.46%1.50fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -8.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.54%66.41%66.35%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.411.4571.43%70.67%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%33.59%33.65%34.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.782.802.8036.76%35.94%35.71%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 66.46%; Rice Owls (Visit): 33.54%. For East Carolina Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.45, with an expected value of -3.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 11:20
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -8.76%E -3.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 12:50
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.63%E -3.97%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 06:30
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.63%E -3.97%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 11:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 11:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.10%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.90%EV -8.42%E -3.09%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.