Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Rice Owls

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 71.31%1.40fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%71.14%71.43%72.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.311.3878.13%76.13%76.05%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 28.69%3.49fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.417%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%28.86%28.57%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.303.4533.33%30.38%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 71.31%; Rice Owls (Visit): 28.69%. For Rice Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.59%E -1.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 15:49
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.46%E -0.722%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 07:15
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 05:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -5.04%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -5.04%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 12:09
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 04:09
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -7.33%E -2.27%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:24
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:28
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 15:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 11:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 09:14
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.72%E -6.81%K -31.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -1.02%E -0.296%K -0.417%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.72%E -6.81%K -31.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -1.02%E -0.296%K -0.417%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:40
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.72%E -6.81%K -31.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -1.02%E -0.296%K -0.417%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 72.59%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.41%10.2%2026-05-10 16:49