Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Pennsylvania Quakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 83.27%1.20fair odd

EV -5.07%

Edge -4.45%

Kelly -36.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.70%83.16%83.82%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.00%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit)

Prediction 16.73%5.98fair odd

EV +0.361%

Edge +0.060%

Kelly +0.072%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.73%16.84%16.18%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.445.406.0020.00%18.38%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 83.27%; Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit): 16.73%. For Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.361%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.73%E -6.01%K -56.12%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.361%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-13 15:49
BetMGM🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.73%E -6.01%K -56.12%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.361%E +0.060%K +0.072%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-13 17:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.57%E -6.82%K -68.79%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -3.82%E -0.665%K -0.804%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-13 15:49
1xBet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -6.73%E -6.01%K -56.12%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -7.17%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-13 20:40
Fliff🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 83.21%EV -8.40%E -7.64%K -83.99%G +0.000%	5.45I 18.35%NM 16.79%EV -8.84%E -1.62%K -1.99%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-13 17:14
Bovada🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.90%E -5.22%K -45.39%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -9.68%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-13 17:18
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.73%E -6.01%K -56.12%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -9.68%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-13 15:50
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.07%E -4.45%K -36.20%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.69%E -2.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-13 16:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.07%E -4.45%K -36.20%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.69%E -2.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-13 16:34
betPARX🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.07%E -4.45%K -36.20%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -14.69%E -2.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-13 16:34
Betway🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.73%E -6.01%K -56.12%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -16.37%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-13 15:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.