The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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East Carolina Pirates v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 21:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd
EV +2.56%
Edge +0.538%
Kelly +0.682%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.76%21.24%24.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.384.404.7526.67%22.83%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 78.41%1.28fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -15.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.45%78.24%78.76%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.201.2384.75%83.48%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 21.59%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 78.41%. For East Carolina Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +2.56%E +0.538%K +0.682%G +0.017%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.91%E -4.92%K -29.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 20:56
BetOnline.ag🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV +0.613%E +0.132%K +0.168%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV +0.613%E +0.132%K +0.168%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 20:59
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.98%E -0.436%K -0.559%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.12%E -4.24%K -24.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 20:57
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.91%E -4.92%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.91%E -4.92%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.91%E -4.92%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:59
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.69%E -5.62%K -35.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 21:00
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.84%E -0.631%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 20:59
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.00%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 20:57
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 21:00
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:59
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.08%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.48%E -6.34%K -41.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.16%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.12%E -4.24%K -24.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 21:00
DraftKings🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.24%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.12%E -4.24%K -24.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 21:00
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.32%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.12%E -4.24%K -24.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 21:00
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -11.48%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Pinnacle🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -11.91%E -2.92%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.84%EV -3.56%E -2.89%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 21:00
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -19.03%E -5.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.34%E -3.56%K -19.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 21:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%12.6%2026-05-30 20:59