The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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East Carolina Pirates v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 30.03%3.33fair odd
EV +2.10%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.873%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%29.83%29.52%31.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.913.133.203.4034.36%31.91%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 69.97%1.43fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -3.56%
Kelly -13.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.63%70.17%70.48%72.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.04%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 30.03%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 69.97%. For East Carolina Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.873%G +0.018%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -9.04%E -6.95%K -30.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:45
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +2.10%E +0.616%K +0.873%G +0.018%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.74%E -7.55%K -33.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:18
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -0.907%E -0.275%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.34%E -6.36%K -26.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:54
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.24%E -4.66%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:15
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.24%E -4.66%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 16:20
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.94%E -5.22%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.94%E -5.22%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.94%E -5.22%K -21.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.84%E -3.56%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:15
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.54%E -4.10%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:55
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.54%E -4.10%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:40
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.54%E -4.10%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:40
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.54%E -4.10%K -15.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:40
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.94%E -5.22%K -21.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:20
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 31.37%EV -12.62%E -4.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.63%EV -6.94%E -5.22%K -21.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.