The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

East Carolina Pirates v NC State Wolfpack

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 42.45%2.36fair odd
EV +6.11%
Edge +2.45%
Kelly +4.08%
Growth +0.249%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%42.14%42.86%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.5047.62%45.29%45.45%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

NC State Wolfpack (Visit)

Prediction 57.55%1.74fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.86%57.14%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.6764.10%61.10%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 42.45%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 57.55%. For East Carolina Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +6.11%E +2.45%K +4.08%G +0.249%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -10.22%E -6.55%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 21:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 21:44
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -7.34%E -4.56%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 21:45
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 21:03
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:15
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.04%E -3.05%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 21:09
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.62%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 15:59
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.74%E -4.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 20:20
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 21:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.17%E -4.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.46%E -2.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 21:09
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:35
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.86%E -5.17%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%5.4%2026-04-14 21:35