Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

East Carolina Pirates (Local)

Prediction 62.18%1.61fair odd
EV +0.105%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.61%61.89%62.03%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.511.6167.57%65.18%66.23%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 37.82%2.64fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.638%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.11%37.97%41.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.452.502.6043.86%40.87%40.08%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 62.18%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 37.82%. For East Carolina Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.608. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.610, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.105%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV +0.105%E +0.065%K +0.172%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -13.76%E -6.04%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV +0.105%E +0.065%K +0.172%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -13.76%E -6.04%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 20:25
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV +0.105%E +0.065%K +0.172%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -13.76%E -6.04%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 20:24
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.00%E -1.93%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.44%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 20:24
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.87%E -3.18%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.44%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.11%E -4.05%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.44%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.11%E -4.05%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.33%E -2.99%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 20:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.44%E -2.18%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:49
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -5.82%E -2.34%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 20:45
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.73%E -4.49%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.22%E -3.84%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -7.36%E -4.94%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -2.42%E -0.937%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 20:29
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.98%E -5.39%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.66%E -0.638%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%5.0%2026-04-02 21:55