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Duke Blue Devils v Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
assuming max odds 4.75
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 22.17%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 77.83%. For Duke Blue Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +5.30%E +1.12%K +1.41%G +0.075% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -8.16%E -6.91%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.90%EV +1.53%E +0.335%K +0.429%G +0.007% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.10%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -0.239%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.38%E -6.20%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 12:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -0.239%E -0.053%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.38%E -6.20%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.46%E -0.558%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.60%E -5.50%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -2.46%E -0.558%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.38%E -6.20%K -38.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.82%E -4.81%K -27.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -8.16%E -6.91%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.60%E -5.50%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.60%E -5.50%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.60%E -5.50%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.71%E -2.17%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 13:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.05%E -4.14%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -14.87%E -3.87%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -2.71%E -2.17%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -14.87%E -3.87%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -2.71%E -2.17%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -17.97%E -4.86%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -2.71%E -2.17%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.34I 29.94%NM 24.77% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 75.23% | 20.8% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |