Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV +18.95%
Edge +3.98%
Kelly +5.04%
Growth +0.955%

assuming max odds 4.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.13%24.99%24.99%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.763.654.7628.99%26.60%27.40%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)

Prediction 75.01%1.33fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -11.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.09%75.01%75.01%79.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.80%79.68%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 24.99%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 75.01%. For Duke Blue Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.76I 21.01%NM 20.13%EV +18.95%E +3.98%K +5.04%G +0.955%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.87%EV -9.99%E -8.32%K -49.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 21:50
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +2.46%E +0.599%K +0.792%G +0.019%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 20:09
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.044%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.99%E -5.63%K -29.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 15:05
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.044%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.49%E -6.96%K -38.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:44
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -0.044%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -9.24%E -7.63%K -43.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 17:10
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.54%E -0.652%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.99%E -5.63%K -29.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.49%E -4.35%K -21.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:10
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 15:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -12.29%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -12.29%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -3.24%E -2.51%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 13:50
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.24%E -4.99%K -24.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:35
BetUS🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -13.04%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -3.99%E -3.11%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 20:09
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 17:14
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 17:15
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -4.74%E -3.73%K -17.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 35.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 64.52%40.9%2026-05-15 20:40