The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Duke Blue Devils v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 39.23%2.55fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.53%39.39%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.382.5044.44%42.13%42.11%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 60.77%1.65fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.47%60.61%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6266.67%64.61%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 39.23%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 60.77%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.93%E -0.773%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.84%E -5.89%K -17.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:34
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:50
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.68%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 21:50
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.19%E -3.33%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.85%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.41%E -4.16%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 21:40
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.02%E -4.59%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 21:50
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.02%E -4.59%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 18:35
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.02%E -4.59%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 18:35
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.02%E -4.59%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 18:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -10.56%E -4.63%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -3.98%E -2.52%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 21:49
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -10.95%E -4.83%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -3.37%E -2.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:35
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.55%E -0.956%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%4.8%2026-03-06 21:50