The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Duke Blue Devils v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 51.09%1.96fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.84%51.07%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.831.9155.56%54.17%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -5.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%49.16%48.93%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.911.9454.64%52.93%52.36%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 51.09%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 48.91%. For Duke Blue Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -2.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.41%E -1.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:14
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.41%E -1.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.41%E -1.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 03:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 03:30
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 04:00
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.57%E -4.00%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:54
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.57%E -4.00%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:54
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -6.50%E -3.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -7.57%E -4.00%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 17:54
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.03%E -4.46%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%5.2%2026-03-07 17:40