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Duke Blue Devils v Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
assuming max odds 2.15
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 44.99%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 55.01%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.675%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.08%E -7.37%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +0.675%E +0.369%K +0.813%G +0.005% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.08%E -7.37%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +0.675%E +0.369%K +0.813%G +0.005% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 14:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.08%E -7.37%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +0.675%E +0.369%K +0.813%G +0.005% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 14:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 14:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 14:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 14:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 14:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 14:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.69% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.31% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 14:35 |