The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Duke Blue Devils v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 19.75%5.06fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +0.649%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.11%19.99%19.76%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.694.755.2026.32%21.33%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 80.25%1.25fair odd
EV -0.496%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.40%80.01%80.24%81.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.171.2487.72%84.90%85.47%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 19.75%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 80.25%. For Duke Blue Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +2.73%E +0.524%K +0.649%G +0.018%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.72%E -6.71%K -51.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:30
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.23%E -0.245%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.11%E -5.23%K -35.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 02:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.23%E -0.245%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.11%E -5.23%K -35.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 02:29
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.23%E -0.245%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.11%E -5.23%K -35.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 02:29
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.23%E -0.245%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.52%E -7.47%K -60.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:29
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.23%E -0.245%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.52%E -7.47%K -60.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:30
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.23%E -0.245%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.52%E -7.47%K -60.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:29
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.72%E -6.71%K -51.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 22:45
Caesars🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.31%E -4.50%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:44
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.11%E -5.23%K -35.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 01:14
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.11%E -5.23%K -35.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:48
1xBet🎯4.74I 21.10%NM 19.80%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.23%K -35.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:25
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.13%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.31%E -4.50%K -29.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:44
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.11%E -5.23%K -35.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 13:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -21.77%E -5.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -0.496%E -0.400%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -21.77%E -5.50%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -0.496%E -0.400%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:40
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -24.93%E -6.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.496%E -0.400%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%4.9%2026-04-23 22:30