Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 37.92%2.64fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.888%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%37.76%37.97%39.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.472.452.6042.02%40.49%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 62.08%1.61fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -8.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.71%62.24%62.03%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5468.97%66.25%66.23%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 37.92%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 62.08%. For Duke Blue Devils (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.42%E -0.546%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 18:44
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.42%E -0.546%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.74%E -5.94%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 17:53
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.70%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 17:49
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.21%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.73%E -2.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.73%E -2.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:19
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:09
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.11%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -9.98%E -6.88%K -22.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -7.49%E -3.07%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:13
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.87%E -3.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:34
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.87%E -3.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:34
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -7.87%E -3.24%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 16:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.00%E -3.75%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:20
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.76%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%5.3%2026-03-13 21:44