Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils v Miami Hurricanes

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 39.74%2.52fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%39.95%39.49%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.382.4044.44%42.58%42.11%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Hurricanes (Visit)

Prediction 60.26%1.66fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.05%60.51%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.561.6266.23%64.21%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 39.74%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 60.26%. For Miami Hurricanes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -2.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 03:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:30
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.20%E -4.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 04:05
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.20%E -4.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 05:03
LowVig.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.02%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.02%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.42%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.99%E -3.84%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 12:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -5.82%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.20%E -4.67%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 04:04
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.61%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.80%E -5.10%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 13:35
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -8.20%E -3.55%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.39%E -3.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 13:05
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.60%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.01%E -5.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:10
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.40%E -4.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.39%E -3.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:04
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.40%E -4.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.39%E -3.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:05
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.40%E -4.12%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.39%E -3.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.38%E -1.47%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%5.3%2026-03-14 19:34