The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dayton Flyers v Wright St Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dayton Flyers (Local)

Prediction 34.80%2.87fair odd
EV -0.480%
Edge -0.168%
Kelly -0.258%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.02%34.60%34.94%35.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.702.702.8638.02%37.05%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wright St Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 65.20%1.53fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -3.76%
Kelly -12.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.78%65.40%65.06%66.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.431.431.4570.92%69.69%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayton Flyers (Local): 34.80%; Wright St Raiders (Visit): 65.20%. For Dayton Flyers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.86, with an expected value of -0.480%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -0.480%E -0.168%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -8.06%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 19:45
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.57%E -0.917%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 14:14
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 01:31
MyBookie.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 17:05
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -6.40%E -2.38%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 21:39
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 13:19
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.48%E -3.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 17:15
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.48%E -3.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 17:15
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.48%E -3.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%5.1%2026-04-15 22:54