The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Dallas Baptist Patriots v New Mexico St Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local)

Prediction 73.02%1.37fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -3.31%
Kelly -14.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.40%72.85%73.07%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3180.00%77.68%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico St Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.15%26.93%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.403.6030.77%29.38%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local): 73.02%; New Mexico St Aggies (Visit): 26.98%. For New Mexico St Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -4.34%E -3.31%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -11.78%E -3.60%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 17:45
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 17:43
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.07%E -3.90%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -10.43%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 16:14
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.80%E -4.50%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:54
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:55
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.53%E -5.10%K -23.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -8.72%E -6.98%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 77.92%3.53I 28.33%NM 22.08%28.3%2026-03-13 23:24