Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Baptist Patriots v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local)

Prediction 58.11%1.72fair odd

EV +6.35%

Edge +3.47%

Kelly +7.65%

Growth +0.485%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.07%57.55%58.82%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.471.661.641.8368.03%60.39%60.98%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit)

Prediction 41.89%2.39fair odd

EV +8.91%

Edge +3.43%

Kelly +5.57%

Growth +0.496%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.12%42.45%41.18%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.912.182.142.6052.36%45.96%46.73%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local): 58.11%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 41.89%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -14.57%E -9.91%K -31.01%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +8.91%E +3.43%K +5.57%G +0.496%	6.5%	2026-03-07 20:17
DraftKings🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -12.25%E -8.11%K -24.02%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +4.72%E +1.89%K +3.15%G +0.148%	6.2%	2026-03-07 20:19
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.44%E -4.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-07 20:29
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-07 20:29
1xBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.86%E -3.62%K -9.45%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.43%E -3.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-07 20:34
BetRivers🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -4.70%E -2.86%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.36%E -4.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-07 20:54
betPARX🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -4.70%E -2.86%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.36%E -4.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-07 20:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -4.70%E -2.86%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.36%E -4.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-07 20:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -2.37%E -1.41%K -3.49%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-07 20:48
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +6.35%E +3.47%K +7.65%G +0.485%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -20.00%E -10.47%K -21.97%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-07 20:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +6.35%E +3.47%K +7.65%G +0.485%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -20.00%E -10.47%K -21.97%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-07 20:39
BetUS🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +6.35%E +3.47%K +7.65%G +0.485%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -20.00%E -10.47%K -21.97%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-07 20:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.