Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Baptist Patriots v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local)

Prediction 47.03%2.13fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.71%47.84%46.54%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.952.002.0956.50%51.22%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit)

Prediction 52.97%1.89fair odd
EV +5.95%
Edge +2.97%
Kelly +5.95%
Growth +0.354%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%52.16%53.46%55.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.772.0059.17%55.37%56.50%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local): 47.03%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 52.97%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -16.76%E -9.47%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +5.95%E +2.97%K +5.95%G +0.354%6.5%2026-03-06 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -16.76%E -9.47%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +5.95%E +2.97%K +5.95%G +0.354%6.5%2026-03-06 23:20
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -16.76%E -9.47%K -21.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +5.95%E +2.97%K +5.95%G +0.354%6.5%2026-03-06 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.18%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.06%E -1.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 00:09
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.83%E -3.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.71%E -3.21%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:24
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.24%E -3.52%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 00:21
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.24%E -3.52%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 00:09
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.60%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.83%E -4.50%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 23:25
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:49
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:50
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.41%E -5.51%K -13.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 20:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -1.72%E -0.821%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -10.47%E -6.20%K -15.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.