Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Baptist Patriots v Liberty Flames

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local)

Prediction 52.12%1.92fair odd

EV -2.53%

Edge -1.36%

Kelly -2.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%52.27%51.74%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.711.791.801.8758.48%55.87%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Liberty Flames (Visit)

Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd

EV +0.547%

Edge +0.260%

Kelly +0.497%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.88%47.73%48.26%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.871.971.932.1053.48%50.71%51.81%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Baptist Patriots (Local): 52.12%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 47.88%. For Liberty Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.547%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.547%E +0.260%K +0.497%G +0.003%	6.1%	2026-04-17 18:35
BetUS🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.547%E +0.260%K +0.497%G +0.003%	6.1%	2026-04-17 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +0.068%E +0.032%K +0.062%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-17 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -10.87%E -6.36%K -15.32%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV +0.068%E +0.032%K +0.062%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-17 17:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.73%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-17 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.66%E -3.13%K -6.99%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.59%E -3.93%K -8.16%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-17 23:05
1xBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.62%E -2.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-17 22:15
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.73%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.55%E -4.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-17 17:09
DraftKings🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-17 03:57
Bovada🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-17 04:50
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.36%K -2.91%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.47%E -5.60%K -12.03%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-17 12:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%	8.1%	2026-04-17 23:25