The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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CSU Northridge Matadors v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Northridge Matadors (Local)

Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV +0.763%
Edge +0.162%
Kelly +0.206%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%21.58%21.44%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.394.354.7024.39%22.77%22.99%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 78.56%1.27fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -7.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.64%78.42%78.56%79.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.181.2585.47%83.92%84.75%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Northridge Matadors (Local): 21.44%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 78.56%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.763%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +0.763%E +0.162%K +0.206%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.30%E -6.18%K -40.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:50
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.38%E -0.300%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.08%E -6.91%K -47.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 21:07
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.30%E -6.18%K -40.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 18:54
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.51%E -5.47%K -34.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 18:58
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.30%E -6.18%K -40.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 23:39
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -1.80%E -1.44%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.