The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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CSU Northridge Matadors v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Northridge Matadors (Local)

Prediction 29.86%3.35fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%29.86%29.52%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.203.2533.33%31.79%31.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 70.14%1.43fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -4.49%
Kelly -17.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%70.14%70.48%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.331.331.3475.76%75.08%75.19%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Northridge Matadors (Local): 29.86%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 70.14%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -2.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.42%E -5.62%K -23.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 05:35
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.02%E -4.49%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 04:54
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.72%E -5.05%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 11:19
MyBookie.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -8.02%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -6.02%E -4.49%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 15:04
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.72%E -5.05%K -20.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.