The School of College Oddsodds.college
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CSU Fullerton Titans v USC Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Fullerton Titans (Local)

Prediction 36.15%2.77fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.890%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.47%36.05%36.27%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.462.612.602.7040.65%38.35%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

USC Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 63.85%1.57fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -7.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.96%63.95%63.73%65.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.481.5170.42%68.23%67.80%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Fullerton Titans (Local): 36.15%; USC Trojans (Visit): 63.85%. For CSU Fullerton Titans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -2.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -2.40%E -0.890%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -2.40%E -0.890%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:20
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -2.40%E -0.890%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 23:20
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 13:34
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.57%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.14%E -4.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 10:59
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.30%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.05%E -5.59%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 00:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.30%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.05%E -5.59%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 00:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.30%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.05%E -5.59%K -18.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 00:49
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.02%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 06:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.02%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 23:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.02%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.02%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.02%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 13:40
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.02%E -2.31%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.14%E -4.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 06:12
MyBookie.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -7.10%E -2.76%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.14%E -4.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 19:09
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 13:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 00:00
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -11.08%E -4.50%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -3.58%E -2.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%4.0%2026-04-22 00:49