Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Fullerton Titans v UC Davis Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Fullerton Titans (Local)

Prediction 67.88%1.47fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -10.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%68.17%67.70%69.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.381.4175.76%73.15%72.46%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Davis Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 32.12%3.11fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.21%31.83%32.30%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.762.942.913.0536.23%34.04%34.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Fullerton Titans (Local): 67.88%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 32.12%. For UC Davis Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -11.34%E -4.11%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 04:10
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 04:39
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.63%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.20%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.33%E -4.59%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 09:45
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.69%E -5.65%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.45%E -2.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 23:35
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -7.88%K -32.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:20
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -7.88%K -32.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -10.40%E -7.88%K -32.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.02%E -0.664%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.63%6.8%2026-05-02 23:09