The School of College Oddsodds.college
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CSU Fullerton Titans v Cal Poly Mustangs

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Fullerton Titans (Local)

Prediction 47.91%2.09fair odd
EV +0.612%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.75%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.952.1053.48%51.42%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 52.09%1.92fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.25%52.00%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.801.8758.48%55.34%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Fullerton Titans (Local): 47.91%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 52.09%. For CSU Fullerton Titans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.612%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.612%E +0.291%K +0.556%G +0.003%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.93%E -6.39%K -15.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:59
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.78%E -0.870%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 19:03
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.78%E -0.870%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.36%E -5.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 19:01
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:24
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.47%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:23
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.53%E -3.90%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.72%E -3.16%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 19:03
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.41%E -5.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.41%E -5.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 05:54
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -10.41%E -5.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -10.41%E -5.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -10.41%E -5.57%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%8.8%2026-05-10 19:40