Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 15.72%6.36fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.49%15.72%15.73%16.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.725.865.806.0017.48%17.05%17.24%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 84.28%1.19fair odd
EV -5.61%
Edge -5.01%
Kelly -46.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.63%84.28%84.27%84.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.101.1290.91%90.29%90.50%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Local): 15.72%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 84.28%. For UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.12, with an expected value of -5.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.67%E -0.945%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.61%E -5.01%K -46.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:05
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.67%E -0.945%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.45%E -5.81%K -58.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:48
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.67%E -0.945%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.29%E -6.63%K -72.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 09:44
MyBookie.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -8.81%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -6.45%E -5.81%K -58.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 19:40
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.81%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.29%E -6.63%K -72.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 19:35
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.81%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.29%E -6.63%K -72.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 19:35
Bally Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -8.81%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.29%E -6.63%K -72.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 19:35
1xBet🎯5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -10.07%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.63%EV -5.61%E -5.01%K -46.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.