Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Creighton Bluejays v Omaha Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Creighton Bluejays (Local)

Prediction 64.83%1.54fair odd

EV -2.76%

Edge -1.84%

Kelly -5.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.18%65.08%65.06%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.411.451.451.5070.92%68.86%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omaha Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 35.17%2.84fair odd

EV +3.76%

Edge +1.28%

Kelly +1.93%

Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.49%34.92%34.94%36.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.542.662.602.9539.37%37.64%38.46%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Creighton Bluejays (Local): 64.83%; Omaha Mavericks (Visit): 35.17%. For Omaha Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.95%E -5.60%K -18.92%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +3.76%E +1.28%K +1.93%G +0.073%	4.3%	2026-03-18 15:47
DraftKings🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-17 23:50
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-18 01:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.00%E -4.14%K -13.34%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-18 08:59
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.76%E -1.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-18 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.71%E -3.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-18 15:41
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.65%E -4.62%K -15.12%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-18 15:39
Fliff🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -8.60%E -6.10%K -20.97%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -8.55%E -3.29%K -5.34%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-18 07:20
1xBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.06%E -2.74%K -8.45%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.66%E -4.20%K -6.92%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-18 18:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.44%	2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%	8.4%	2026-03-18 22:50