Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Creighton Bluejays v Nebraska Cornhuskers

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Creighton Bluejays (Local)

Prediction 31.90%3.14fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.512%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.18%31.77%32.08%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.903.1735.71%33.90%34.48%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)

Prediction 68.10%1.47fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -11.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.23%67.92%69.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.371.371.4073.53%72.76%73.26%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Creighton Bluejays (Local): 31.90%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 68.10%. For Creighton Bluejays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV +1.11%E +0.350%K +0.512%G +0.006%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 22:55
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.12%E -0.362%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:15
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.12%E -0.362%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 20:02
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.70%E -4.89%K -18.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 00:04
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 03:09
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 09:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 09:09
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.65%E -3.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 20:02
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.50%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.65%E -3.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -4.65%E -3.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -7.82%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -4.65%E -3.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 15:55
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 15:55
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 15:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.02%E -4.36%K -15.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 20:02
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.38%E -5.43%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:57
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.69%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.65%E -3.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%6.4%2026-05-12 21:30